Sport Picks
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pelikan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
25'
25'
Kurzawa E.
62'
62'
Pierzak P.
(Penalty)
84'
84'
Rybus M.
AI Match Summary
Pelikan in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelikan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pelikan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pelikan have won more games recently than Olimpia Zambrow.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Pelikan taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Zambrow | Pelikan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.34 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pelikan
1:3
Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pelikan
1:1
Aug 13, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Olimpia Zambrow
3:1
Apr 2, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Olimpia Zambrow
2:1
Aug 27, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pelikan
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Zambrow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Pelikan Compare
Top Goalscorer Kurzawa E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rybus M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Zambrow 10 / 100
Pelikan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Zambrow Pelikan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pelikan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Zambrow found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Pelikan has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Olimpia Zambrow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Zambrow VS Pelikan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Zambrow
(Home) 03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
30 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
3 : 4 Widzew Lodz II
23 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
4 : 3 Plock II
15 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 4
Pelikan
(Away) 03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1 Pelikan
19 Aug
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0 Pelikan
07 Aug
MKS Mlawa
0 : 1 Pelikan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
