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Olimpia Zambrow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow host Tomaszow Mazowiecki in the III Liga - Group I. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Olimpia Zambrow at 1.62 goals for, 2.34 against; Tomaszow Mazowiecki at 1.9 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Olimpia Zambrow have won 3 to Tomaszow Mazowiecki's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2024, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.44, favoring Tomaszow Mazowiecki. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Olimpia Zambrow
20%
Draws
30%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia Zambrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki have won more games recently than Olimpia Zambrow.
  • Olimpia Zambrow are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Zambrow Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.34 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow
0:5
Nov 18, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:2
Apr 8, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:2
Sep 3, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow
0:1
Apr 17, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Zambrow 40 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Zambrow Tomaszow Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Olimpia Zambrow scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Olimpia Zambrow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Zambrow VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Zambrow

(Home)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 6

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

(Away)
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)