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Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Metallurg Bekabad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Makhamatov A.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Milickovic M.
45' Event
Milickovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Olimpik-Mobiuz and Metallurg Bekabad finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Olimpik-Mobiuz
15%
Draws
58%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpik-Mobiuz haven't matched Metallurg Bekabad's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Metallurg Bekabad a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Olimpik-Mobiuz Clean Sheet 20%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpik-Mobiuz Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.96 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Pro Liga
Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Metallurg Bekabad
2:3
Apr 30, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs Olimpik-Mobiuz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpik-Mobiuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakhimov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Milickovic M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpik-Mobiuz 10 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpik-Mobiuz Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Olimpik-Mobiuz's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Metallurg Bekabad conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Olimpik-Mobiuz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpik-Mobiuz VS Metallurg Bekabad
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpik-Mobiuz

(Home)
07 Oct
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 2
FarDU
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
06 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
BuxDu
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 6

Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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