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Olimpik Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Premier League 2020/2021 Stadion Otoka
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpik Sarajevo play Sloboda Tuzla in the Premier League 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olimpik Sarajevo averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Sloboda Tuzla averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Olimpik Sarajevo won 1, Sloboda Tuzla won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Olimpik Sarajevo and 0.93 for Sloboda Tuzla. This points to a Sloboda Tuzla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Olimpik Sarajevo
17%
Draws
54%
Sloboda Tuzla
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sloboda Tuzla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Olimpik Sarajevo picked up more points recently compared to Sloboda Tuzla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Olimpik Sarajevo Clean Sheet 24%
Sloboda Tuzla Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpik Sarajevo Sloboda Tuzla
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Olimpik Sarajevo
2:0
Mar 8, 2021 WWIN Liga BiH
Olimpik Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla
2:0
Oct 4, 2020 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Olimpik Sarajevo
2:0
Oct 15, 2016 WWIN Liga BiH
Olimpik Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla
3:3
Jul 23, 2016 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Olimpik Sarajevo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpik Sarajevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavric N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Handzic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sloboda Tuzla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpik Sarajevo 31 / 100
Sloboda Tuzla 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpik Sarajevo Sloboda Tuzla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Tuzla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sloboda Tuzla & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olimpik Sarajevo attacking → ← attacking Sloboda Tuzla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpik Sarajevo scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Sloboda Tuzla let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Olimpik Sarajevo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sloboda Tuzla lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Borac Banja Luka33214859:3167
2FK Sarajevo331811453:2465
3Velez Mostar331613450:3061
4Siroki Brijeg33178847:3059
5Zrinjski331851050:3059
6Tuzla City331391136:3548
7Zeljeznicar331281350:4344
8Sloboda Tuzla331071631:4137
9Doboj Kakanj33861926:5730
10Krupa33771926:4628
11Radnik Bijeljina335101826:5125
12Olimpik Sarajevo33742222:5825