Sport Picks
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti, Bahía Blanca 
Match Events
21'
21'
Ceratto L.
31'
31'
45'
45'
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- San Martin Formosa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- San Martin Formosa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpo Bahia Blanca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 20%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.45 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2024 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
San Martin Formosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Ceratto L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32 / 100
San Martin Formosa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpo Bahia Blanca San Martin Formosa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpo Bahia Blanca's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: San Martin Formosa conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Olimpo Bahia Blanca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olimpo Bahia Blanca VS San Martin Formosa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
(Home) 04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1 Cipolletti
30 Aug
Biblioteca Atenas
1 : 0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1 Cipolletti
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0 Kimberley
12 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 0 Villa Mitre
02 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0 Juventud Antoniana
Page 1 of 3
San Martin Formosa
(Away) 04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1 Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1 San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1 San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
16 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 1 San Martin Formosa
08 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 4 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
San Martin Formosa 2
Biblioteca Atenas 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 4
Alvarado 4
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 2
Cipolletti 6
Sol de America 2
Semi-finals
San Martin Formosa -
Olimpo Bahia Blanca -
Alvarado -
Cipolletti -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
