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Olimps Riga vs Skonto

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Virslīga 2011
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Match Events

10' Event
12' Event
24' Event

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2011 game between Olimps Riga and Skonto finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skonto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimps Riga
15%
Draws
85%
Skonto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Skonto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Skonto a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Skonto have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 10%
Skonto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga Skonto
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 1 29
Draws 3 2
Losses 26 11
Goals Scored 0.63 3.36
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2011 Virsliga
Skonto vs Olimps Riga
6:0
Aug 7, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Skonto
0:7
May 28, 2011 Virsliga
Skonto vs Olimps Riga
4:0
Apr 13, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Skonto
0:4
Sep 18, 2010 Virsliga
Skonto vs Olimps Riga
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 10 / 100
Skonto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga Skonto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skonto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Skonto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 42 matches.

Away concern: Skonto has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Olimps Riga's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skonto
0 Goals Scored 4.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
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Skonto

(Away)
05 Nov
Skonto
0 : 3
AFA Olaine
29 Oct
Skonto
5 : 1
Preilu BJSS
22 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Skonto
16 Oct
SK Babite
4 : 3
Skonto
28 Sept
Skonto
3 : 2
RTU
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)