Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olimps Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Virslīga 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala in this Virslīga 2011 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimps Riga
15%
Draws
85%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimps Riga haven't matched Spartaks Jurmala's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Spartaks Jurmala taking it.
  • Spartaks Jurmala arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartaks Jurmala, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.19
Goals Conceded 3.6 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2011 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
2:0
Nov 10, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 10 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartaks Jurmala let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Olimps Riga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartaks Jurmala
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6

Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 4