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Oliv. Bairro vs Sao Joao de Ver

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oliv. Bairro play Sao Joao de Ver in the Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oliv. Bairro averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Sao Joao de Ver averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Oliv. Bairro won 0, Sao Joao de Ver won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 29, 2012 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Oliv. Bairro and 0.86 for Sao Joao de Ver. This points to a Sao Joao de Ver double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Oliv. Bairro
28%
Draws
44%
Sao Joao de Ver
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Oliv. Bairro picked up more points recently compared to Sao Joao de Ver.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Oliv. Bairro Clean Sheet 25%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliv. Bairro Sao Joao de Ver
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Oliv. Bairro vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:3
Jan 15, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Sao Joao de Ver vs Oliv. Bairro
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliv. Bairro 30 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliv. Bairro Sao Joao de Ver

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Joao de Ver or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oliv. Bairro attacking → ← attacking Sao Joao de Ver

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliv. Bairro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sao Joao de Ver let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Oliv. Bairro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao Joao de Ver lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tondela30196549:2263
2SC Espinho30195650:3262
3Operario30157834:2652
4Boavista301551043:3150
5Amarante FC301310748:3049
6Sao Joao de Ver301541143:4649
7Gondomar301351227:3144
8Cinfaes301271135:4043
9Coimbroes30915630:3142
10Anadia301171245:4240
11Padroense301161347:5039
12Aliados Lordelo301071341:4037
13Oliv. Bairro30771634:5028
14SC Angrense30581736:4923
15Paredes30651930:5023
16FC Madalena30561932:5421