Sport Picks
Olivais e Moscavide vs Carregado
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Carregado advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olivais e Moscavide
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olivais e Moscavide carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Olivais e Moscavide's way, sitting at 90%.
- Olivais e Moscavide have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Carregado, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Olivais e Moscavide Clean Sheet 17%
Carregado Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olivais e Moscavide | Carregado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Olivais e Moscavide vs Carregado
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olivais e Moscavide 84 / 100
Carregado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olivais e Moscavide Carregado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olivais e Moscavide Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olivais e Moscavide scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Carregado conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Olivais e Moscavide stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olivais e Moscavide VS Carregado
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Olivais e Moscavide
(Home) 19 Oct
Lusitano GC
4 : 1 Olivais e Moscavide
21 Sept
Olivais e Moscavide
2 : 0 Uniao Da Serra
14 Sept
Fayal
0 : 5 Olivais e Moscavide
21 Oct
Olivais e Moscavide
1 : 3 Sporting CP
24 Sept
Os Sandinenses
1 : 3 Olivais e Moscavide
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Olivais e Moscavide
2 : 0 Uniao Da Serra
21 Oct
Olivais e Moscavide
1 : 3 Sporting CP
09 Nov
Olivais e Moscavide
2 : 0 Beira Mar
23 Sept
Olivais e Moscavide
0 : 2 Carregado
13 May
Olivais e Moscavide
1 : 2 Leixoes
Page 1 of 3
Carregado
(Away) 24 May
Carregado
2 : 2 AD Portomosense
11 May
Fatima
1 : 3 Carregado
04 May
Riachense
6 : 2 Carregado
27 Apr
Carregado
2 : 2 Torreense
19 Apr
Alcanenense
2 : 1 Carregado
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Fatima
1 : 3 Carregado
04 May
Riachense
6 : 2 Carregado
19 Apr
Alcanenense
2 : 1 Carregado
06 Apr
Caldas SC
0 : 2 Carregado
30 Mar
AD Portomosense
1 : 0 Carregado
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
