Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oliveira de Frades host Lusitano FCV in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lusitano FCV have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Oliveira de Frades have conceded 3 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Oliveira de Frades have won 0 to Lusitano FCV's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 15, 2016, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.69) point toward Lusitano FCV. Lusitano FCV in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Oliveira de Frades

17%

Draws

13%

Lusitano FCV

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Oliveira de Frades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Lusitano FCV has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Oliveira de Frades.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Oliveira de Frades.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 13%

Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oliveira de Frades	Lusitano FCV
Matches Played	31	37
Wins	7	12
Draws	7	6
Losses	17	19
Goals Scored	0	0.38
Goals Conceded	3	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs Oliveira de Frades

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Mar 26, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Jan 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Nov 1, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs Oliveira de Frades

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira de Frades 66 / 100

Lusitano FCV 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oliveira de Frades Lusitano FCV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira de Frades scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Lusitano FCV let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Oliveira de Frades went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lusitano FCV lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oliveira de Frades VS Lusitano FCV

0 Goals Scored 0.38

3 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estarreja	18	13	5	0	38:14	44
2	Anadia	18	9	4	5	36:26	31
3	Lusitano FCV	18	8	5	5	33:23	29
4	Sanjoanense	18	8	5	5	27:20	29
5	FC Cesarense	18	5	7	6	26:24	22
6	Oliveira de Frades	18	5	5	8	21:32	20
7	Lusitania FC	18	4	7	7	22:28	19
8	Mortagua FC	18	4	7	7	22:36	19
9	Gafanha	18	2	9	7	18:26	15
10	Bustelo	18	3	4	11	19:33	13