Sport Picks

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Oliveira Hospital vs Mortagua FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Braz D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Oliveira Hospital and Mortagua FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Oliveira Hospital
28%
Draws
22%
Mortagua FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Mortagua FC have managed 0.57 goals a game lately — Oliveira Hospital are scoring more at 2.13.
  • Oliveira Hospital are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 68%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira Hospital Mortagua FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Mortagua FC
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Oliveira Hospital
2:0
Jan 30, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oliveira Hospital vs Mortagua FC
2:1
Oct 18, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Apr 26, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Braz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira Hospital 59 / 100
Mortagua FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira Hospital Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira Hospital found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Mortagua FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Oliveira Hospital stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oliveira Hospital VS Mortagua FC
2.13 Goals Scored 0.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira Hospital

(Home)
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Malveira
23 May
Louletano
2 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Oliveira Hospital
10 May
Malveira
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
03 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

Mortagua FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)