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Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio Carlos Osorio, Oliveira de Azemeis
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bruno L.
34'
Afonso A.
38' Event
Fonseca T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Oliveirense and CF Os Belenenses finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Os Belenenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Oliveirense
35%
Draws
40%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Oliveirense haven't matched CF Os Belenenses's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CF Os Belenenses have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 10%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveirense CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Liga 3
Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses
1:2
Dec 10, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense
1:0
Mar 31, 2046 Liga Portugal
CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense
10:0
Dec 30, 2045 Liga Portugal
Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CF Os Belenenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveirense 34 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveirense CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Oliveirense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

CF Os Belenenses let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Oliveirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oliveirense VS CF Os Belenenses
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveirense

(Home)
31 Oct
Oliveirense
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
24 Oct
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Oliveirense
10 Oct
Covilha
0 : 0
Oliveirense
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
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CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
31 Oct
Oliveirense
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
25 Oct
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 1
Covilha
18 Oct
CF Os Belenenses
3 : 4
Arouca
11 Oct
Mafra
2 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
2 AD Marco 09 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
3 AD Fafe 8 3 4 1 13:7 13
4 Leca 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 SC Vianense 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
6 Vitoria Guimaraes B 8 2 3 3 10:10 9
7 Sao Joao de Ver 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
8 Varzim 8 3 0 5 11:13 9
9 Pacos Ferreira 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
10 Trofense 8 1 2 5 4:15 5
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 8 6 2 0 18:6 20
2 Atletico CP 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Mafra 8 3 3 2 16:11 12
4 Caldas SC 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 Oliveirense 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
6 Santarem 8 3 1 4 9:14 10
7 Louletano 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
8 Covilha 8 1 4 3 5:8 7
9 Vitoria Sernache 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
10 Lusitano GC 8 1 3 4 6:11 6
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)