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Oliveirense vs FC Felgueiras

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Osorio
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AI Match Summary

Oliveirense play FC Felgueiras in the Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oliveirense averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. FC Felgueiras averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Oliveirense won 1, FC Felgueiras won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Oliveirense and 0.81 for FC Felgueiras. This points to a FC Felgueiras double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Oliveirense
39%
Draws
30%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Felgueiras has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Oliveirense.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 26%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveirense FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs FC Felgueiras
1:5
Jan 3, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Oliveirense
1:0
May 17, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Oliveirense
2:1
Jan 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs FC Felgueiras
0:3
Feb 18, 2022 Liga 3
Oliveirense vs FC Felgueiras
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Felgueiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leite T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveirense 33 / 100
FC Felgueiras 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveirense FC Felgueiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveirense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

FC Felgueiras let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Oliveirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Felgueiras lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oliveirense VS FC Felgueiras
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934