Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Oliveirense

1 - 2

Penafiel

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Bastos L.

46'

Mendes C.

69'

Svensson M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Oliveirense

15%

Draws

53%

Penafiel

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penafiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Penafiel have won more games recently than Oliveirense.
Win probability leans Penafiel's way, sitting at 60%.
Penafiel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Penafiel, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Oliveirense Clean Sheet 22%

Penafiel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oliveirense	Penafiel
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	1.2	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.35
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Oliveirense vs Penafiel

1:2

Jan 25, 2026 Liga Portugal 2

Oliveirense vs Penafiel

2:1

Aug 17, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

Penafiel vs Oliveirense

0:0

Jan 20, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

Oliveirense vs Penafiel

2:2

Aug 11, 2024 Liga Portugal 2

Penafiel vs Oliveirense

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Penafiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveirense 21 / 100

Penafiel 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oliveirense Penafiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penafiel Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Oliveirense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Penafiel conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Oliveirense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oliveirense VS Penafiel

1.63 Goals Scored 0.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveirense

(Home)

19 Sept

Oliveirense

1 : 2

Penafiel

12 Sept

Oliveirense

2 : 1

Mafra

06 Sept

Atletico CP

3 : 1

Oliveirense

29 Aug

Oliveirense

4 : 0

Penalva do Castelo

23 Aug

Oliveirense

3 : 2

Vitoria Sernache

Page 1 of 6

Penafiel

(Away)

19 Sept

Oliveirense

1 : 2

Penafiel

12 Sept

FC Felgueiras

1 : 2

Penafiel

05 Sept

Penafiel

4 : 1

Academica

30 Aug

FC Porto B

0 : 3

Penafiel

23 Aug

Penafiel

2 : 0

Sporting CP B

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

TBD -

1/64-finals

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

Camacha -

Florgrade -

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Oliveirense vs Penafiel

Portugal

Oliveirense

Penafiel

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Oliveirense Compare

Penafiel Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveirense

Penafiel

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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