Sport Picks
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Osorio, Oliveira de Azemeis 
Match Events
45'
45'
Cagro W.
58'
58'
Thauan Lara
63'
63'
Sub
Martelo P. In: Rodriguez Y.
Out: Martelo P.
AI Match Summary
Portimonense in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portimonense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portimonense lately — more wins on the board than Oliveirense.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 16%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oliveirense | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Oliveirense
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Oliveirense
2:3
Nov 9, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
0:2
Oct 17, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oliveirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas Borel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Portimonense Compare
Top Goalscorer Thauan Lara
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oliveirense 36 / 100
Portimonense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oliveirense Portimonense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Portimonense conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Oliveirense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Oliveirense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Oliveirense VS Portimonense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oliveirense
(Home) 17 May
Oliveirense
1 : 5 FC Felgueiras
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2 Oliveirense
02 May
Oliveirense
0 : 0 Lusitania FC
27 Apr
Chaves
2 : 1 Oliveirense
22 Apr
Oliveirense
3 : 0 Benfica B
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Oliveirense
1 : 5 FC Felgueiras
02 May
Oliveirense
0 : 0 Lusitania FC
22 Apr
Oliveirense
3 : 0 Benfica B
03 Apr
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Portimonense
07 Mar
Oliveirense
0 : 3 Torreense
Page 1 of 3
Portimonense
(Away) 29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1 Portimonense
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0 Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Portimonense
0 : 3 Rio Ave
17 May
Portimonense
1 : 0 SC Farense
09 May
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1 Portimonense
09 May
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1 Portimonense
25 Apr
Leixoes
2 : 0 Portimonense
12 Apr
Maritimo
1 : 0 Portimonense
03 Apr
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Portimonense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
