Sport Picks
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Osorio, Oliveira de Azemeis 
Match Events
45'
45'
Cagro W.
58'
58'
Thauan Lara
63'
63'
Sub
Martelo P. In: Rodriguez Y.
Out: Martelo P.
AI Match Summary
Portimonense in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portimonense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portimonense lately — more wins on the board than Oliveirense.
- Win probability leans Oliveirense's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 16%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oliveirense | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Oliveirense
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Oliveirense
2:3
Nov 9, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
0:2
Oct 17, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Oliveirense vs Portimonense
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oliveirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas Borel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Portimonense Compare
Top Goalscorer Thauan Lara
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oliveirense 66 / 100
Portimonense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oliveirense Portimonense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oliveirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Portimonense conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Oliveirense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Oliveirense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Oliveirense VS Portimonense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Oliveirense
(Home) 19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1 Mafra
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0 Penalva do Castelo
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1 Mafra
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0 Penalva do Castelo
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
08 Aug
Oliveirense
0 : 0 Louletano
Page 1 of 4
Portimonense
(Away) 19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1 Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1 Portimonense
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
08 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 1 Portimonense
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
