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Olivenza FC vs Diter Zafra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olivenza FC
15%
Draws
85%
Diter Zafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diter Zafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Olivenza FC at 0.9 per game, Diter Zafra at 0.87.
  • Model gives Diter Zafra a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 14%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC Diter Zafra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Olivenza FC
0:4
Sep 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Diter Zafra
5:4
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Diter Zafra
1:1
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Olivenza FC
1:0
Mar 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Diter Zafra
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 27 / 100
Diter Zafra 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC Diter Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diter Zafra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diter Zafra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Diter Zafra has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Olivenza FC found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Olivenza FC VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olivenza FC

(Home)
11 May
Olivenza FC
0 : 3
Jerez CF
04 May
Santa Amalia
1 : 0
Olivenza FC
27 Apr
Olivenza FC
0 : 5
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
Montijo
6 : 0
Olivenza FC
13 Apr
Olivenza FC
3 : 6
SP Villafranca
Page 1 of 7

Diter Zafra

(Away)
12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2
Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3
Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1
Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0
Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 9 2 106:25 90
2 CD Badajoz 38 26 9 3 90:25 87
3 Arroyo 38 25 9 4 78:23 84
4 Jerez CF 38 24 9 5 69:24 81
5 Don Benito 38 18 12 8 53:39 66
6 CD Azuaga 38 17 11 10 75:47 62
7 CD Calamonte 38 20 2 16 68:66 62
8 Pueblonuevo 38 16 11 11 49:41 59
9 CD Coria 38 14 10 14 56:44 52
10 Diter Zafra 38 13 8 17 45:65 47
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 13 7 18 39:59 46
12 Moralo 38 11 12 15 53:58 45
13 Fuente de Cantos 38 12 9 17 46:66 45
14 CP Valdivia 38 12 7 19 34:63 43
15 Olivenza FC 38 8 10 20 38:61 34
16 CP Amanecer 38 7 13 18 35:66 34
17 Santa Amalia 38 7 10 21 35:70 31
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 4 25 36:83 31
19 Valdelacalzada 38 7 8 23 29:71 29
20 Deportivo Pacense 38 6 6 26 42:80 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)