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Olivenza FC vs Don Alvaro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ahouzan C.
84' Event
Jimenez V. G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between Olivenza FC and Don Alvaro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olivenza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Olivenza FC
22%
Draws
60%
Don Alvaro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Don Alvaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Don Alvaro come out ahead of Olivenza FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Don Alvaro a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 14%
Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC Don Alvaro
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 4
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Don Alvaro
2:0
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs Olivenza FC
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Don Alvaro
1:2
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs Olivenza FC
1:0
Mar 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Don Alvaro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olivenza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahouzan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez V. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Don Alvaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 19 / 100
Don Alvaro 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC Don Alvaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Alvaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Don Alvaro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Olivenza FC's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Olivenza FC VS Don Alvaro
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34237471:1376
2CD Coria341912358:2069
3CD Azuaga341711648:3162
4SP Villafranca341510945:2655
5Moralo341581155:4453
6Castuera341571249:3752
7CD Diocesano341471350:4649
8Jaraiz341441651:5246
9Pueblonuevo341271535:4543
10CD Calamonte349151040:5242
11Jerez CF341191441:5242
12Olivenza FC3410111332:4141
13Arroyo3410111333:3941
14CF Trujillo348141230:3838
15Don Alvaro347111630:5032
16RCP Valverdeno34881837:5832
17Montehermoso347111633:6332
18Fuente de Cantos344131728:5925