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Olivenza FC vs Lobon

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Olivenza FC host Lobon in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lobon have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Olivenza FC have conceded 2.25 and scored 0.38. Head-to-head, Olivenza FC have won 1 to Lobon's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2021, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 1.63, favoring Lobon. Lobon in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Olivenza FC
6%
Draws
90%
Lobon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lobon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lobon has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Olivenza FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Lobon.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 14%
Lobon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC Lobon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Lobon
4:0
Apr 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Lobon vs Olivenza FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 10 / 100
Lobon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC Lobon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olivenza FC scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Lobon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Olivenza FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Lobon lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olivenza FC VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%