Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olivenza FC vs SP Villafranca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Yaw L. J.
6' Event
Ramos D.
16' Event
Ibrahim K.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between Olivenza FC and SP Villafranca finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Olivenza FC
6%
Draws
90%
SP Villafranca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SP Villafranca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SP Villafranca a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 21%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC SP Villafranca
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs SP Villafranca
3:6
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Olivenza FC
2:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Olivenza FC
2:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs SP Villafranca
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs SP Villafranca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olivenza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SP Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaw L. J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amaya Gomez R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 10 / 100
SP Villafranca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC SP Villafranca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SP Villafranca conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Olivenza FC found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: SP Villafranca registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SP Villafranca
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olivenza FC

(Home)
11 May
Olivenza FC
0 : 3
Jerez CF
04 May
Santa Amalia
1 : 0
Olivenza FC
27 Apr
Olivenza FC
0 : 5
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
Montijo
6 : 0
Olivenza FC
13 Apr
Olivenza FC
3 : 6
SP Villafranca
Page 1 of 6

SP Villafranca

(Away)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
SP Villafranca
1 : 0
Don Benito
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 Apr
SP Villafranca
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura34236573:2275
2CD Azuaga342011365:2871
3Jaraiz34216765:4069
4AD Llerenense34215858:2868
5CD Badajoz341712554:2063
6CD Diocesano341771058:3858
7Santa Amalia341661231:3154
8Jerez CF341491150:4851
9SP Villafranca341451555:5547
10Moralo341371452:5046
11Montijo3411121135:3445
12Pueblonuevo34991642:7136
13CD Calamonte34891736:4833
14Puebla de la Calzada347111635:5632
15Castuera34781946:6429
16CF Trujillo346101832:6328
17Arroyo34572232:7022
18Olivenza FC34382326:7917
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)