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Olot vs UE Castelldefels

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between Olot and UE Castelldefels finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olot
30%
Draws
23%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • UE Castelldefels haven't matched Olot's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olot a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Olot have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Olot Clean Sheet 68%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olot UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs UE Castelldefels
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Olot
2:4
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Olot
0:1
Sep 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs UE Castelldefels
3:1
May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs UE Castelldefels
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olot 68 / 100
UE Castelldefels 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olot UE Castelldefels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Olot scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

UE Castelldefels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Olot remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olot VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olot

(Home)
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
15 Aug
Olot
0 : 0
Sant Andreu
09 Aug
Olot
0 : 3
Sabadell
01 Aug
Olot
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
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UE Castelldefels

(Away)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)