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Oltrepo vs Albenga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Sun, Apr 6, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oltrepo host Albenga in the Serie D - Group A 2024/2025. This has Oltrepo written all over it on paper. Albenga have shipped 3.37 goals a game lately, while Oltrepo have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Oltrepo slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 0.75) back Oltrepo to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Oltrepo
15%
Draws
0%
Albenga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Albenga haven't matched Oltrepo's recent run of results.
  • Oltrepo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 20%
Albenga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oltrepo Albenga
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 14 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.17 0.37
Goals Conceded 0.93 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Oltrepo vs Albenga
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Oltrepo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 42 / 100
Albenga 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oltrepo Albenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Albenga conceded in 100% of 19 recent games.

Albenga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Oltrepo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oltrepo

(Home)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6

Albenga

(Away)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)