Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oltrepo vs Chievo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Franceschinis G.
25' Event
Hrom D.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Lo Monaco M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Oltrepo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oltrepo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Oltrepo
30%
Draws
37%
Chievo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than Oltrepo.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Oltrepo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 15%
Chievo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oltrepo Chievo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Chievo
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Oltrepo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Franceschinis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chievo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 35 / 100
Chievo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oltrepo Chievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Oltrepo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chievo has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Oltrepo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS Chievo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oltrepo

(Home)
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
11 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Oltrepo
02 Apr
Oltrepo
1 : 0
Real Calepina
Page 1 of 6

Chievo

(Away)
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2
Castellanzese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)