Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Oltrepo host Pavia in the Serie D - Group D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Oltrepo have averaged 1.07 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Pavia's 1 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Pavia slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.06) back Oltrepo to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pavia haven't matched Oltrepo's recent run of results.
- Model gives Oltrepo a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oltrepo | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oltrepo Compare
Pavia Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oltrepo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Oltrepo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Pavia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Pavia has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Oltrepo
(Home)Pavia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Pro Sesto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 5 | USD Casatese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Castellanzese | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Sant'Angelo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Varese FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 10 | Correggese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 11 | Varesina | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Tropical Coriano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Pavia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 3 |
| 14 | Oltrepo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Solbiatese | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 16 | Crema | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:11 | 1 |
| 18 | US Pontedera | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 0 |
