Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group B

Match Events

41'

Franceschinis G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oltrepo host Real Calepina in the Serie D - Group B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Oltrepo at 1.38 goals for, 1.25 against; Real Calepina at 0.88 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Oltrepo have won 2 to Real Calepina's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Oltrepo. Oltrepo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Oltrepo

Draws

Real Calepina

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Oltrepo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Calepina.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Oltrepo.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group B provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Oltrepo Clean Sheet 68%

Real Calepina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oltrepo	Real Calepina
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.38	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group B

Oltrepo vs Real Calepina

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B

Real Calepina vs Oltrepo

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Franceschinis G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Calepina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 95 / 100

Real Calepina 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oltrepo Real Calepina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oltrepo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Real Calepina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Oltrepo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Calepina lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS Real Calepina

1.38 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Folgore Caratese	34	19	11	4	58:27	68
2	USD Casatese	34	16	13	5	49:28	61
3	Chievo	34	18	6	10	52:43	60
4	AC Milan U23	34	16	8	10	62:37	56
5	AC Leon	34	14	11	9	44:34	53
6	Brusaporto	34	15	6	13	41:38	51
7	Oltrepo	34	15	8	11	38:36	50
8	Scanzorosciate	34	11	14	9	41:33	47
9	Villa Valle	34	13	8	13	43:46	47
10	Ciserano-Bergamo	34	11	13	10	33:31	46
11	Caldiero Terme	34	10	15	9	50:40	45
12	Real Calepina	34	11	9	14	42:47	42
13	Castellanzese	34	10	11	13	41:39	41
14	Breno	34	9	11	14	39:51	38
15	Pavia	34	9	10	15	36:47	37
16	Varesina	34	7	15	12	38:44	36
17	Sondrio	34	8	7	19	37:64	31
18	Vogherese	34	2	8	24	21:80	-17