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OltrepoVoghera vs Crema

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
OltrepoVoghera Logo

OltrepoVoghera

2 - 2
FT
Crema Logo

Crema

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
OltrepoVoghera
20%
Draws
40%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Crema have won more games recently than OltrepoVoghera.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 20%
Crema Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OltrepoVoghera Crema
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 6
Draws 13 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs OltrepoVoghera
1:0
Dec 12, 2018 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Crema
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OltrepoVoghera 31 / 100
Crema 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OltrepoVoghera Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OltrepoVoghera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Crema's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: OltrepoVoghera scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crema
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

OltrepoVoghera

(Home)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

Crema

(Away)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)