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Olympia Warriors U21 vs Hobart United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympia Warriors U21 play Hobart United in the Tasmania Southern Championship 2020. Hobart United are favorites here. Recently, Olympia Warriors U21 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. Hobart United averaged 2.27 goals scored and 3.3 conceded. In past meetings, Olympia Warriors U21 won 3, Hobart United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.60 for Olympia Warriors U21 and 1.43 for Hobart United. This points to a Hobart United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Olympia Warriors U21
15%
Draws
56%
Hobart United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hobart United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Olympia Warriors U21 picked up more points recently compared to Hobart United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.60 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Olympia Warriors U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympia Warriors U21 Hobart United
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.23 2.27
Goals Conceded 4.5 3.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2022 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors U21
3:0
Jun 25, 2022 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors U21
6:1
Jun 26, 2021 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors U21
1:2
May 8, 2021 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors U21 vs Hobart United
2:1
Oct 16, 2020 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors U21 vs Hobart United
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympia Warriors U21 30 / 100
Hobart United 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympia Warriors U21 Hobart United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hobart United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hobart United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.7%
1.16
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympia Warriors U21 attacking → ← attacking Hobart United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympia Warriors U21 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Hobart United let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Olympia Warriors U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hobart United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00