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Olympia Warriors U21 vs Kingborough Lions U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympia Warriors U21 play Kingborough Lions U21 in the Tasmania Southern Championship 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olympia Warriors U21 averaged 1.28 goals scored and 4.28 conceded. Kingborough Lions U21 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 4.06 conceded. In past meetings, Olympia Warriors U21 won 4, Kingborough Lions U21 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 30, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.13 for Olympia Warriors U21 and 2.94 for Kingborough Lions U21. This points to a Olympia Warriors U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Olympia Warriors U21
15%
Draws
31%
Kingborough Lions U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympia Warriors U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Olympia Warriors U21 picked up more points recently compared to Kingborough Lions U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.13 vs 2.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 99%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Olympia Warriors U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Kingborough Lions U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 89%
Second Half Goal 94%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympia Warriors U21 Kingborough Lions U21
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 22 26
Goals Scored 1.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 4.28 4.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2022 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors U21 vs Kingborough Lions U21
3:1
Apr 25, 2022 Tasmania Southern Championship
Kingborough Lions U21 vs Olympia Warriors U21
1:3
Sep 4, 2021 Tasmania Southern Championship
Kingborough Lions U21 vs Olympia Warriors U21
4:0
Jul 10, 2021 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors U21 vs Kingborough Lions U21
8:2
Aug 22, 2020 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors U21 vs Kingborough Lions U21
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympia Warriors U21 51 / 100
Kingborough Lions U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympia Warriors U21 Kingborough Lions U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympia Warriors U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Olympia Warriors U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.1%
1.19
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympia Warriors U21 attacking → ← attacking Kingborough Lions U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympia Warriors U21 scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Kingborough Lions U21 let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Olympia Warriors U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kingborough Lions U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 18
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25