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Stadium Background

Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos

Greece Greece

Super League Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus play Panathinaikos in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olympiacos Piraeus averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.54 conceded. Panathinaikos averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Olympiacos Piraeus won 3, Panathinaikos won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 0.56 for Panathinaikos. This points to a Olympiacos Piraeus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Olympiacos Piraeus
28%
Draws
32%
Panathinaikos
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus picked up more points recently compared to Panathinaikos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 30%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Panathinaikos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.36 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.54 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodinei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Panathinaikos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 42 / 100
Panathinaikos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Panathinaikos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olympiacos Piraeus or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympiacos Piraeus attacking → ← attacking Panathinaikos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Panathinaikos let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Olympiacos Piraeus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Panathinaikos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 48
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AEK32219257:2072
2Olympiacos Piraeus32199451:1766
3PAOK321810459:2564
4Panathinaikos321410847:3352