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Olympiacos Piraeus vs AC Milan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus host AC Milan in the Europa League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Olympiacos Piraeus have averaged 1.54 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against AC Milan's 1.5 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Olympiacos Piraeus have won 2 to AC Milan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 13, 2018, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Olympiacos Piraeus
15%
Draws
32%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Milan haven't matched Olympiacos Piraeus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 53% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Olympiacos Piraeus have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 19%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus AC Milan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2018 Europa League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AC Milan
3:1
Oct 4, 2018 Europa League
AC Milan vs Olympiacos Piraeus
3:1
Jul 25, 2014 International Champions Cup
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AC Milan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 85 / 100
AC Milan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympiacos Piraeus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Olympiacos Piraeus has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AC Milan let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS AC Milan
2 Goals Scored 2.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
31 Oct
Kifisia
2 : 3
Olympiacos Piraeus
28 Oct
Marko
0 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
25 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
5 : 0
Kalamata
22 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
18 Oct
Panetolikos
0 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
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AC Milan

(Away)
31 Oct
AC Milan
3 : 1
Inter
28 Oct
AC Milan
2 : 4
Bologna
25 Oct
Udinese
0 : 2
AC Milan
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
AC Milan
18 Oct
AC Milan
3 : 2
Atalanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
3 Bournemouth 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
4 Ferencvaros 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
6 Royale Union SG 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7 Juventus 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
8 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
9 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
10 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
11 Omonia 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12 Lyon 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
13 Rennes 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
14 Real Sociedad 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
15 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16 Sparta Prague 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
17 Levski Sofia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18 Din. Zagreb 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19 Sturm Graz 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
20 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
21 Salzburg 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
22 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
23 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
24 AC Milan 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
25 Celta Vigo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
27 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
28 Torreense 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
29 Celje 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
30 H. Beer Sheva 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
31 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
32 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
33 Plzen 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
34 Marseille 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
35 Celtic 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
36 Ararat-Armenia 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)