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Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Sat, Dec 5, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus host AEK in the Super League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Olympiacos Piraeus at 1.59 goals for, 0.75 against; AEK at 2.21 for, 1.09 against. Head-to-head, Olympiacos Piraeus have won 2 to AEK's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.44) point toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Olympiacos Piraeus
15%
Draws
16%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • AEK haven't matched Olympiacos Piraeus's recent run of results.
  • Olympiacos Piraeus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 16%
AEK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus AEK
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 19 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEK
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEK
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 84 / 100
AEK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympiacos Piraeus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olympiacos Piraeus scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Olympiacos Piraeus stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: AEK registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS AEK
2 Goals Scored 2.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
04 Nov
Rennes
0 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
31 Oct
Kifisia
2 : 3
Olympiacos Piraeus
28 Oct
Marko
0 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
25 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
5 : 0
Kalamata
22 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
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AEK

(Away)
04 Nov
AEK
2 : 3
Real Madrid
01 Nov
Panathinaikos
2 : 0
AEK
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0
Panetolikos
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 9 8 0 1 20:4 24
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
3 Aris 10 6 1 3 16:17 19
4 PAOK 9 6 0 3 18:12 18
5 AEK 8 5 2 1 21:5 17
6 OFI Crete 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
7 Kifisia 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
8 Kalamata 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
9 Iraklis FC 9 2 4 3 10:12 10
10 Panetolikos 10 3 0 7 8:20 9
11 Levadiakos 9 1 3 5 3:11 6
12 Asteras Tripolis 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
13 Atromitos 8 1 2 5 9:12 5
14 Volos 10 0 3 7 7:19 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)