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Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Szmyt K.
Assist: Prelec N.
29'
Wojtuszek N.
38'
Onyemaechi B.

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympiacos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Olympiacos Piraeus
15%
Draws
20%
Jagiellonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jagiellonia lately — more wins on the board than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 68%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Jagiellonia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Europa League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia
2:1
Jul 5, 2019 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaremchuk R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Szmyt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 41 / 100
Jagiellonia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Jagiellonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympiacos Piraeus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Olympiacos Piraeus found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Jagiellonia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Olympiacos Piraeus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS Jagiellonia
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Jagiellonia

(Away)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)