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Olympic Star vs Bumamuru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Olympic Star and Bumamuru finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympic Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Olympic Star
20%
Draws
28%
Bumamuru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olympic Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bumamuru carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Olympic Star taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 20%
Bumamuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Star Bumamuru
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Bumamuru
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Olympic Star
2:3
Dec 7, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Bumamuru
1:2
May 6, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Bumamuru
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Olympic Star
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Star 67 / 100
Bumamuru 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Star Bumamuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Olympic Star remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Olympic Star scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Bumamuru conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Star VS Bumamuru
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Star

(Home)
18 Oct
Olympic Star
2 : 0
Panthere Noir
10 Oct
Olympic Star
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
03 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Olympic Star
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
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Bumamuru

(Away)
18 Oct
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Bumamuru
15 Oct
Bumamuru
3 : 1
Vital'O
09 Oct
Young Star
0 : 3
Bumamuru
04 Oct
Bumamuru
0 : 1
Flambeau du Centre
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 8 6 2 0 23:4 20
2 Muzinga 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
3 Le Messager Ngozi 6 4 1 1 6:4 13
4 Aigle Noir 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Olympic Star 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Ngozi City 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
7 Rukinzo 5 3 2 0 12:2 11
8 Bumamuru 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
9 Musongati 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
10 Vital'O 7 2 3 2 8:13 9
11 Flambeau du Centre 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
12 Inter Star 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Never Give Up Academy 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
14 Kayanza United 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
15 Young Star 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
16 Panthere Noir 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)