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Olympic Star vs Bumamuru

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic Star host Bumamuru in the Primus League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Olympic Star have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Bumamuru's 1.41 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Olympic Star slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward Bumamuru. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olympic Star
30%
Draws
23%
Bumamuru
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olympic Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bumamuru carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Olympic Star taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 20%
Bumamuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Star Bumamuru
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Olympic Star
2:3
Dec 7, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Bumamuru
1:2
May 6, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Bumamuru
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Olympic Star
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Bumamuru
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Star 85 / 100
Bumamuru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Star Bumamuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bumamuru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Olympic Star went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Bumamuru has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Star VS Bumamuru
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Star

(Home)
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
27 Apr
Inter Star
1 : 2
Olympic Star
Page 1 of 6

Bumamuru

(Away)
28 Aug
Bumamuru
2 : 0
Musongati
22 Aug
Panthere Noir
1 : 1
Bumamuru
16 Aug
Bumamuru
0 : 1
Le Messager Ngozi
09 May
Musongati
3 : 0
Bumamuru
26 Apr
Bumamuru
0 : 4
Rukinzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Royal Vision 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Muzinga 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Vital'O 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bumamuru 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
11 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
12 Olympic Star 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Young Star 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)