Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympic Star vs Ngozi City

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic Star in this Primus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympic Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Olympic Star
30%
Draws
33%
Ngozi City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olympic Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ngozi City average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of Olympic Star's 1.25.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 20%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Star Ngozi City
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Ngozi City
4:0
Aug 17, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Olympic Star
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Olympic Star
0:1
Nov 20, 2024 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Ngozi City
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Olympic Star
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Star 32 / 100
Ngozi City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Star Ngozi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic Star scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Ngozi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Olympic Star has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Star VS Ngozi City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Star

(Home)
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
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Ngozi City

(Away)
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
05 May
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Ngozi City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)