Sport Picks

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Olympic vs Tvaaker

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Lindängens IP, Malmö
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic host Tvaaker in the Division 1 - Södra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Olympic have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Tvaaker's 2.15 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Olympic have won 1 to Tvaaker's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.75, favoring Tvaaker. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Olympic
15%
Draws
27%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olympic lately — more wins on the board than Tvaaker.
  • Model gives Olympic a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Olympic Clean Sheet 12%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Tvaaker
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Olympic
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Olympic vs Tvaaker
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Olympic
1:2
Aug 5, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Olympic
0:0
May 6, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Olympic vs Tvaaker
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic 74 / 100
Tvaaker 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Olympic went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tvaaker let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Olympic VS Tvaaker
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic

(Home)
01 Aug
Olympic
3 : 1
Skovde
25 Jul
Hassleholms IF
1 : 2
Olympic
19 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
3 : 4
Olympic
28 Jun
Olympic
2 : 1
Eskilsminne
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
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Tvaaker

(Away)
08 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Atvidaberg
01 Aug
Tvaaker
2 : 2
Utsikten
26 Jun
Hassleholms IF
4 : 2
Tvaaker
18 Jun
Tvaaker
3 : 2
Angelholm
13 Jun
Tvaaker
2 : 1
Jonkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 16 10 6 0 37:15 36
2 Atvidaberg 16 8 5 3 32:21 29
3 AFC Malmo 16 8 4 4 31:20 28
4 Lunds Bois 16 7 7 2 29:19 28
5 Hassleholms IF 16 8 3 5 31:22 27
6 Rosengard 16 7 5 4 27:21 26
7 Olympic 15 7 1 7 25:25 22
8 Tvaaker 16 6 4 6 20:23 22
9 Eskilsminne 16 6 3 7 25:28 21
10 Jonkoping 15 5 3 7 22:19 18
11 Angelholm 16 3 8 5 24:25 17
12 Kristianstad 16 4 5 7 17:24 17
13 Skovde 16 3 8 5 13:24 17
14 Laholms 16 5 1 10 22:30 16
15 Trollhattan 16 3 7 6 19:27 16
16 Utsikten 16 1 2 13 12:43 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)