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Olympic Varna vs Botev Novi Pazar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic Varna in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympic Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olympic Varna
30%
Draws
70%
Botev Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botev Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Novi Pazar haven't matched Olympic Varna's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Olympic Varna have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Varna Botev Novi Pazar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.89 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Botev Novi Pazar
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Olympic Varna
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Varna 29 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Varna Botev Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Varna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic Varna's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Botev Novi Pazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Botev Novi Pazar's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Varna VS Botev Novi Pazar
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Varna

(Home)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
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Botev Novi Pazar

(Away)
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)