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Olympic Varna vs FK Riltzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic Varna host FK Riltzi in the Third League - North-East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Olympic Varna have averaged 1.93 scored and 2.83 conceded recently, against FK Riltzi's 1.11 scored and 2.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Olympic Varna slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.94) point toward Olympic Varna. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Olympic Varna
15%
Draws
49%
FK Riltzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Riltzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • FK Riltzi haven't matched Olympic Varna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olympic Varna a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Varna FK Riltzi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs FK Riltzi
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Olympic Varna
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Varna 65 / 100
FK Riltzi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Varna FK Riltzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Varna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Riltzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Olympic Varna's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

FK Riltzi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Varna VS FK Riltzi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Varna

(Home)
17 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
3 : 0
Olympic Varna
10 Oct
Olympic Varna
1 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

FK Riltzi

(Away)
10 Oct
Cherno More II
2 : 2
FK Riltzi
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Volov Shumen 9 6 1 2 27:9 19
3 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
4 Chernolomets 9 5 3 1 21:7 18
5 Chernomorets Balchik 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
6 Benkovski 7 4 1 2 16:11 13
7 Septemvri Tervel 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
8 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
9 Septemvri Dragoevo 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
10 Devnya 2005 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
11 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
12 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)