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Stadium Background

Olympique Beja vs AS Marsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium, Béja
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympique Beja host AS Marsa in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Olympique Beja at 0.8 goals for, 1.4 against; AS Marsa at 0.87 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor AS Marsa slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward AS Marsa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Olympique Beja
35%
Draws
46%
AS Marsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Marsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Marsa have won more games recently than Olympique Beja.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Olympique Beja Clean Sheet 19%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympique Beja AS Marsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.8 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Olympique Beja
1:0
Dec 30, 2025 Club Friendly
AS Marsa vs Olympique Beja
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs AS Marsa
0:6
Jun 22, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Olympique Beja vs AS Marsa
3:2
May 26, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Olympique Beja
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique Beja 36 / 100
AS Marsa 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympique Beja AS Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Marsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: AS Marsa conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Olympique Beja's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Olympique Beja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympique Beja VS AS Marsa
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympique Beja

(Home)
10 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Olympique Beja
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
CA Bizertin
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
23 Aug
Zarzis
1 : 0
Olympique Beja
Page 1 of 6

AS Marsa

(Away)
11 Oct
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 0
AS Marsa
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9 Stade Tunisien 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Zarzis 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
11 AS Marsa 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Etoile Sahel 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 Hammam-Lif 5 1 0 4 1:4 3
14 Metlaoui 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
15 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Hamam-Sousse 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)