Sport Picks
Olympique Beja vs Etoile Sahel
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium, Béja 
Match Events
31'
31'
Abid O.
34'
34'
Camara C.
42'
42'
AI Match Summary
Olympique Beja in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympique Beja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Etoile Sahel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Olympique Beja haven't matched Etoile Sahel's recent run of results.
- 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Olympique Beja here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Olympique Beja Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olympique Beja | Etoile Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs Etoile Sahel
3:1
Oct 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Beja
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs Etoile Sahel
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Beja
0:1
Jan 7, 2024 Super Cup
Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Beja
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olympique Beja Compare
Top Goalscorer Camara C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Etoile Sahel Compare
Top Goalscorer Abid O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olympique Beja 41 / 100
Etoile Sahel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olympique Beja Etoile Sahel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olympique Beja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Etoile Sahel conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Olympique Beja stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Etoile Sahel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olympique Beja VS Etoile Sahel
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Olympique Beja
(Home) 13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
CA Bizertin
1 : 1 Olympique Beja
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2 Ben Guerdane
23 Aug
Zarzis
1 : 0 Olympique Beja
14 May
Club Africain
1 : 1 Olympique Beja
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2 Ben Guerdane
08 May
Olympique Beja
2 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Apr
Olympique Beja
1 : 0 CA Bizertin
11 Apr
Olympique Beja
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 3
Etoile Sahel
(Away) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
04 May
Zarzis
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
