Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympique de Safi vs USM Alger

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Stade El Massira, Safi
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
El Bouchqali S.
31'
Mkhair A.
45' Event
Khaldi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Olympique de Safi
44%
Draws
20%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USM Alger come out ahead of Olympique de Safi on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • USM Alger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Olympique de Safi Clean Sheet 22%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympique de Safi USM Alger
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 16 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Olympique de Safi vs USM Alger
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Olympique de Safi
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Olympique de Safi
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Olympique de Safi vs USM Alger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympique de Safi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

USM Alger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique de Safi 37 / 100
USM Alger 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympique de Safi USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympique de Safi's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: USM Alger conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Olympique de Safi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Olympique de Safi VS USM Alger
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympique de Safi

(Home)
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
28 Jun
Olympique de Safi
2 : 2
COD Meknes
25 Jun
Renaissance Zemamra
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
21 Jun
Olympique de Safi
0 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
Page 1 of 7

USM Alger

(Away)
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Maniema2
USM Alger2
Olympique de Safi3
Wydad Athletic3
Al Masry1
CR Belouizdad1
Otoho d'Oyo2
Zamalek3
Semi-finals
USM Alger1
Olympique de Safi1
CR Belouizdad0
Zamalek1
Final
USM Alger2
Zamalek1