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Olympique de Safi vs USM Alger Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Stade El Massira, Safi
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
El Bouchqali S.
31'
Mkhair A.
45' Event
Khaldi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Olympique de Safi
35%
Draws
49%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USM Alger come out ahead of Olympique de Safi on wins alone.
  • USM Alger are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • USM Alger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Olympique de Safi Clean Sheet 21%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympique de Safi USM Alger
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 16 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Olympique de Safi vs USM Alger
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Olympique de Safi
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Olympique de Safi
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Olympique de Safi vs USM Alger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympique de Safi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

USM Alger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique de Safi 24 / 100
USM Alger 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympique de Safi USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympique de Safi's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: USM Alger conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Olympique de Safi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Olympique de Safi VS USM Alger
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympique de Safi

(Home)
26 Sept
US Boujaad
0 : 0
Olympique de Safi
03 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 0
Olympique de Safi
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
28 Jun
Olympique de Safi
2 : 2
COD Meknes
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Maniema 2
USM Alger 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Wydad Athletic 3
Al Masry 1
CR Belouizdad 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Zamalek 3
Semi-finals
USM Alger 1
Olympique de Safi 1
CR Belouizdad 0
Zamalek 1
Final
USM Alger 2
Zamalek 1