Sport Picks

Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2012/2013

Esperance Tunis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olympique Kef play Esperance Tunis in the Ligue Professionnelle 1 2012/2013. Esperance Tunis are favorites here. Recently, Olympique Kef averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Esperance Tunis averaged 1.66 goals scored and 0.46 conceded. In past meetings, Olympique Kef won 0, Esperance Tunis won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 24, 2013 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Olympique Kef and 1.49 for Esperance Tunis. This points to a Esperance Tunis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

Olympique Kef

17%

Draws

69%

Esperance Tunis

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Olympique Kef picked up more points recently compared to Esperance Tunis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Olympique Kef Clean Sheet 16%

Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olympique Kef	Esperance Tunis
Matches Played	26	41
Wins	4	27
Draws	2	9
Losses	20	5
Goals Scored	0.77	1.66
Goals Conceded	1.77	0.46

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2013 Ligue Professionnelle 1

Olympique Kef vs Esperance Tunis

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:4

Nov 25, 2012 Ligue Professionnelle 1

Esperance Tunis vs Olympique Kef

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique Kef 16 / 100

Esperance Tunis 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olympique Kef Esperance Tunis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperance Tunis Win (2)

Secondary Pick Esperance Tunis & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympique Kef attacking → ← attacking Esperance Tunis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympique Kef scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Esperance Tunis let in goals in 37% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Olympique Kef went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Esperance Tunis lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 90

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Esperance Tunis	14	9	2	3	27:12	29
2	Club Africain	14	8	5	1	16:8	29
3	CA Bizertin	14	8	5	1	18:5	29
4	AS Marsa	14	5	4	5	16:15	19
5	JS Kairouan	14	3	6	5	10:17	15
6	Olympique Beja	14	3	4	7	11:16	13
7	Zarzis	14	2	6	6	9:16	12
8	Olympique Kef	14	1	2	11	7:25	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CS Sfaxien	14	8	4	2	20:9	28
2	Etoile Sahel	14	7	4	3	23:12	25
3	Monastir	14	5	6	3	17:12	21
4	Hammam-Lif	14	4	5	5	11:13	17
5	Stade Tunisien	14	4	5	5	11:11	17
6	Stade Gabesien	14	3	6	5	13:19	15
7	Gafsa	14	4	2	8	12:18	14
8	Hamam-Sousse	14	3	4	7	11:24	13