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Olympique Kef vs Sfax Railways

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2015/2016
Sat, Nov 28, 2015
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympique Kef play Sfax Railways in the Tunisia Cup 2015/2016. Sfax Railways are favorites here. Recently, Olympique Kef averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Sfax Railways averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Olympique Kef won 0, Sfax Railways won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Olympique Kef and 1.49 for Sfax Railways. This points to a Sfax Railways double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Olympique Kef
16%
Draws
68%
Sfax Railways
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Sfax Railways

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Olympique Kef picked up more points recently compared to Sfax Railways.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Olympique Kef Clean Sheet 16%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympique Kef Sfax Railways
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2015 Tunisia Cup
Olympique Kef vs Sfax Railways
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique Kef 18 / 100
Sfax Railways 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympique Kef Sfax Railways

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sfax Railways & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympique Kef attacking → ← attacking Sfax Railways

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympique Kef scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Sfax Railways let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Olympique Kef went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sfax Railways lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00