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Omega Sport vs Progresul Mogosoaia

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Omega Sport host Progresul Mogosoaia in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Progresul Mogosoaia have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Omega Sport have conceded 0.67 and scored 1.33. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.21 - 0.82) back Omega Sport to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Omega Sport
25%
Draws
35%
Progresul Mogosoaia
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Omega Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Progresul Mogosoaia have won more games recently than Omega Sport.
  • Omega Sport are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Omega Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omega Sport Progresul Mogosoaia
Matches Played 3 28
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 0 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omega Sport 49 / 100
Progresul Mogosoaia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omega Sport Progresul Mogosoaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omega Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omega Sport found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (3 games).

Progresul Mogosoaia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Omega Sport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Progresul Mogosoaia's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Omega Sport VS Progresul Mogosoaia
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
0.4 Goals Conceded 1.63
40% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Omega Sport

(Home)
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
Oxigen Bucuresti
1 : 2
Omega Sport
29 Aug
Omega Sport
1 : 1
LPS HD Clinceni

Progresul Mogosoaia

(Away)
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0
Voluntari 2
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
12 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 4
Concordia
05 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 0
AS Vointa Crevedia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adunatii-Copaceni 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Progresul Mogosoaia 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Omega Sport 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Din. Bucuresti 2 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
6 LPS HD Clinceni 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 CSM Alexandria 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 3 1 0 2 9:3 3
9 Progresul Spartac 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
11 Voluntari 2 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
12 FCSB 2 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)