Sport Picks
Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama 
Match Events
5'
5'
Yamamoto O.
Assist: Caprini Pinto M.
59'
59'
Sub
Wakatsuki Y. In: Kasai K.
Out: Wakatsuki Y.
59'
59'
Sub
Arai T. In: Maeda R.
Out: Arai T.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Omiya Ardija and Albirex Niigata finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omiya Ardija.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Albirex Niigata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Omiya Ardija haven't matched Albirex Niigata's recent run of results.
- Omiya Ardija are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 16%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Omiya Ardija | Albirex Niigata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Omiya Ardija
1:0
Feb 26, 2022 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata
2:2
Aug 9, 2021 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Omiya Ardija
2:2
May 5, 2021 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Omiya Ardija Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamamoto O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Albirex Niigata Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Omiya Ardija 57 / 100
Albirex Niigata 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Omiya Ardija Albirex Niigata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Omiya Ardija found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Albirex Niigata conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Omiya Ardija stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Omiya Ardija VS Albirex Niigata
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Omiya Ardija
(Home) 10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1 Vanraure
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1 Vanraure
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
29 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
26 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 0 Vanraure
Page 1 of 3
Albirex Niigata
(Away) 03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2 Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2 Albirex Niigata
06 Sept
Yokohama FC
5 : 0 Albirex Niigata
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata
29 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 3 Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
