Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League NACK5 Stadium Omiya

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Omiya Ardija play Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Omiya Ardija averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Omiya Ardija won 2, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Omiya Ardija and 2.25 for Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo. This points to a Omiya Ardija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Omiya Ardija

15%

Draws

39%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omiya Ardija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Omiya Ardija picked up more points recently compared to Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Omiya Ardija	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	15
Draws	1	1
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	2.13	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

4:3

Feb 14, 2026 J2/J3 League

Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Aug 30, 2025 J2 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Apr 25, 2025 J2 League

Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Jul 8, 2017 J1 League

Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunday O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yamamoto O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ieizumi R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sarachat S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija 43 / 100

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Omiya Ardija Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Omiya Ardija or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Omiya Ardija attacking → ← attacking Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Omiya Ardija went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 46

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15