Sport Picks
Omiya Ardija vs Kofu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama 
Match Events
28'
28'
Caprini Pinto M.
Assist: Sekiguchi K.
29'
29'
Toyokawa Y.
40'
40'
de Souza Junior C. A.
Assist: Sekiguchi K.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Omiya Ardija and Kofu finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omiya Ardija.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Omiya Ardija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Omiya Ardija carry the better recent record into this one.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Omiya Ardija taking it.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 20%
Kofu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Omiya Ardija | Kofu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Kofu
5:1
Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Kofu
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Omiya Ardija
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 J2 League
Kofu vs Omiya Ardija
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Kofu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Omiya Ardija Compare
Top Goalscorer Caprini Pinto M.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Souza Junior C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Kofu Compare
Top Goalscorer Naito Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Omiya Ardija 85 / 100
Kofu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Omiya Ardija Kofu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Omiya Ardija found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Kofu let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Away concern: Kofu has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Omiya Ardija VS Kofu
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Omiya Ardija
(Home) 07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
29 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
26 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 0 Vanraure
08 Aug
Omiya Ardija
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 3
Kofu
(Away) 03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2 Toyama
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Tokushima
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Iwata
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1 Kofu
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Kofu
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0 Kofu
26 Aug
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 3 Kofu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 17 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 19 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
