Sport Picks
Omiya Ardija vs Oita Trinita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Kato H. In: Kidera S.
Out: Kato H.
32'
32'
Caprini Pinto M.
44'
44'
Nishimura Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Omiya Ardija lately — more wins on the board than Oita Trinita.
- Model gives Omiya Ardija a 31% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 20%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Omiya Ardija | Oita Trinita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Oita Trinita
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Omiya Ardija
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Oita Trinita
2:2
Sep 30, 2023 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Omiya Ardija
0:1
Mar 25, 2023 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Oita Trinita
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Omiya Ardija 49 / 100
Oita Trinita 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Omiya Ardija Oita Trinita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Omiya Ardija's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Oita Trinita has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Omiya Ardija remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Omiya Ardija VS Oita Trinita
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Omiya Ardija
(Home) 10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1 Vanraure
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1 Vanraure
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
29 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
26 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 0 Vanraure
Page 1 of 3
Oita Trinita
(Away) 10 Oct
Yokohama FC
1 : 2 Oita Trinita
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1 Oita Trinita
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Yokohama FC
1 : 2 Oita Trinita
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1 Oita Trinita
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
29 Aug
Tokushima
1 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
