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Stadium Background

Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Sugimoto K.
30'
Sub
Nagata K. In: Kurisawa R.
Out: Nagata K.
46'
Sub
Suzuki S. In: Yukie H.
Out: Suzuki S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Omiya Ardija
20%
Draws
29%
Vanraure
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Omiya Ardija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija have won more games recently than Vanraure.
  • Model gives Omiya Ardija a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Omiya Ardija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Omiya Ardija, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Omiya Ardija here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 68%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija Vanraure
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.82 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
3:1
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
2:0
Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
3:3
Sep 21, 2024 J3 League
Vanraure vs Omiya Ardija
2:3
Feb 24, 2024 J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Sugimoto K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mueanta S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Vanraure Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija 50 / 100
Vanraure 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija Vanraure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Omiya Ardija scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Vanraure conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Omiya Ardija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija VS Vanraure
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija

(Home)
03 Nov
Omiya Ardija
2 : 1
Iwaki
31 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija
24 Oct
Omiya Ardija
2 : 2
Yokohama FC
21 Oct
Omiya Ardija
0 : 3
Toyama
17 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

Vanraure

(Away)
03 Nov
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Vanraure
31 Oct
Vanraure
1 : 2
Montedio Yamagata
25 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0
Vanraure
21 Oct
Tokushima
0 : 1
Vanraure
17 Oct
Imabari
3 : 3
Vanraure
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
1/32-finals
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
1/16-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
1/8-finals
Vissel Kobe -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Kashima Antlers -
Cerezo Osaka -
Yokohama FC -
FC Tokyo -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Machida Zelvia -
Verdy -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Okayama -
Kyoto -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Gamba Osaka -
Urawa Reds -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -