Sport Picks
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama 
Match Events
45'
45'
Ozaki Y.
Assist: Kato H.
56'
56'
Nishio R.
Assist: Kato H.
58'
58'
Sub
Nakano S. In: Nagata K.
Out: Nakano S.
AI Match Summary
Omiya Ardija in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omiya Ardija.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Omiya Ardija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Omiya Ardija have won more games recently than Vanraure.
- Omiya Ardija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Omiya Ardija have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 20%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Omiya Ardija | Vanraure |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
3:1
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
2:0
Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
3:3
Sep 21, 2024 J3 League
Vanraure vs Omiya Ardija
2:3
Feb 24, 2024 J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Omiya Ardija Compare
Top Goalscorer Ozaki Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nishio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Vanraure Compare
Top Goalscorer Owie W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Omiya Ardija 85 / 100
Vanraure 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Omiya Ardija Vanraure
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Omiya Ardija scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Vanraure has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Omiya Ardija went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Omiya Ardija VS Vanraure
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Omiya Ardija
(Home) 07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
29 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
26 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 0 Vanraure
08 Aug
Omiya Ardija
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 3
Vanraure
(Away) 04 Oct
Vanraure
0 : 2 Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0 Vanraure
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
05 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0 Vanraure
26 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 0 Vanraure
15 Aug
Tochigi City
5 : 0 Vanraure
16 Jul
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 0 Vanraure
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 17 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 19 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
