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Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Sat, Feb 27, 2027
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the WE League Cup Women. This one's hard to separate. Albirex Niigata W have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Omiya Ardija W have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Omiya Ardija W have won 1 to Albirex Niigata W's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Albirex Niigata W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Omiya Ardija W
15%
Draws
34%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omiya Ardija W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija W have won more games recently than Albirex Niigata W.
  • Win probability leans Omiya Ardija W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Omiya Ardija W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Albirex Niigata W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 15%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W
2:1
May 2, 2026 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Omiya Ardija W
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 41 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Albirex Niigata W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Omiya Ardija W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Albirex Niigata W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS Albirex Niigata W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
11 Oct
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Omiya Ardija W
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
04 Oct
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 2
C-Osaka W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 6 5 0 1 13:8 14
2 Beleza W 6 4 0 2 14:11 12
3 Omiya Ardija W 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
4 Nojima Stella W 6 3 0 3 9:8 11
5 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
6 Urawa W 6 3 0 3 12:10 10
7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 C-Osaka W 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
9 Mynavi Sendai W 6 2 0 4 5:8 8
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 6 2 0 4 8:12 4
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 6 0 0 6 1:12 1
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)