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Omiya Ardija W vs Beleza W Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
2 - 3
04:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nishio H.
51' Event
Kobayashi R.
100' Event
Kitamura N.

AI Match Summary

Beleza W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Omiya Ardija W
15%
Draws
42%
Beleza W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omiya Ardija W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija W haven't matched Beleza W's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Beleza W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Beleza W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Beleza W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 68%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W Beleza W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 20
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.57 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Beleza W
2:3
Feb 18, 2026 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Beleza W
2:2
May 11, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Beleza W
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Omiya Ardija W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishio H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakaguchi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Beleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobayashi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kitamura N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 41 / 100
Beleza W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W Beleza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omiya Ardija W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Beleza W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Omiya Ardija W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS Beleza W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
13 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
05 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
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Beleza W

(Away)
27 Sept
C-Osaka W
1 : 4
Beleza W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
12 Sept
Beleza W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
05 Sept
Urawa W
3 : 1
Beleza W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
C-Osaka W 4
Omiya Ardija W 6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 4
Beleza W 5
Final
Omiya Ardija W 2
Beleza W 3